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Researchers
have used 835 annual tree-ring chronologies based on measurements
from 20- to 30-thousand tree samples across the United States,
Mexico, and parts of Canada to reconstruct a history of drought
over the last 2005 years. Click on the above picture to view
animation. |
Not enough is know about what
triggers major droughts, yet they occur all across North America
often having greater economic and social impacts than any other
type of natural disaster. Losses due to drought in the United States
alone average $6-8 billion each year, with a high of $39 billion
for the three-year drought of 1987-89.
Researchers from the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory
of The Earth Institute at Columbia University have used 835 annual
tree-ring chronologies based on measurements from 20- to 30-thousand
tree samples across the United States, Mexico, and parts of Canada
to reconstruct a history of drought over the last 2005 years. The
resulting drought reconstructions have been organized into a North
American Drought Atlas CD-ROM, the first of its kind, which maps
year-by-year occurrences of droughts. The maps provide essential
paleoclimate data with important applications to science, as well
as policy, education, and history.
“It is not yet possible to forecast droughts,
but we can surmise a great deal from the paleoclimatic record about
the future possibilities of droughts. When and where droughts have
occurred in the past, at what severity, and for what duration are
all indictors of drought patterns we may see in the future,” said
Edward R. Cook, lead developer of the North American Drought Atlas,
Director of the Tree Ring Laboratory, and Doherty Senior Scholar
at the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory.
The goal of this North American Drought Atlas
is to improve and expand knowledge on North American drought severity
and to catalyze innovative advances in the use of paleoclimate
data with climate models to better understand the causes of drought.
The resulting Atlas contains 2,005 annual maps
of reconstructed droughts over North America, a full animation
of those maps, and a time series plot of each reconstruction with
associated plots of calibrated and verification statistics.
The full animation can be viewed at http://www.earthinstitute.columbia.edu/flash/drought_hi_res.html
The Atlas was created through the support of
the paleoclimate programs of the National Science Foundation and
the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration.
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