Extension of drought records for central Asia using tree rings: West-central Mongolia

Publication Type  Journal Article
Year of Publication  2006
Authors  Davi, N. K.; Jacoby, G. C.; Curtis, A. E.; Baatarbileg, N.
Journal Title  Journal of Climate
Volume  19
Issue  2
Pages  288-299
Journal Date  Jan
ISBN Number  0894-8755
Accession Number  ISI:000235516400008
Key Words  time-series; monsoon; china; snow
Abstract  

Central Asian drought has had drastic impacts on vast regions over recent years. Longer records and insight into temporal drought patterns could aid greatly in anticipating extreme events and agrarian planning. Mongolia is representative of the central Asian region, and tree-ring resources are used herein to extend the climate record and test for solar influence and/or Pacific Ocean teleconnections. Absolutely dated tree-ring-width chronologies from five sampling sites in west-central Mongolia were used in precipitation models and an individual model was made using the longest of the five tree-ring records (1340-2002). The tree-ring sites are in or near the Selenge River basin, the largest river in Mongolia and a major input into Lake Baikal in Siberia. Regression models resulted in a reconstruction of streamflow that extends from 1637 to 1997 and explains 49% of the flow variation. Spectral analysis indicated significant variation in the frequencies common to Pacific Ocean variations [Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) and ENSO] and also some quasi-solar and lunar-nodal periodicities similar to previous Mongolian hydrometeorological reconstructions in eastern Mongolia based on tree rings.

Notes  

014YHTimes Cited:4Cited References Count:17

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