Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University 61 Route 9W Palisades, NY 10964

Other, more general, publications on North American and Global Hydroclimate Variability and Change can be found here: Drought Research here:

NEW NOAA DROUGHT TASK FORCE ASSESSMENT REPORT: Causes and Predictability of the 2011 to 2014 California Drought


Cook, B.I., R. Seager, D.J. Burnette and A.J. Ray, 2015: Seasonal shifts in hydroclimate and 21st century warming in Western North America. J. Hydrometeorology, submitted.

Biasutti, M., and R. Seager, 2015: Projected changes in US rainfall erosivity. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2945–2961, doi:10.5194/hess-19-2945.

Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, D. Griffin and B.I. Cook, 2015: Winter-to-summer precipitation phasing in southwestern North America: A multicentury perspective from paleoclimatic model-data comparisons. J. Geo. Res.: Atmos.,120, 8052-8064, doi:10.1002/2015JD023085.

Coats, S., B. Cook, J. Smerdon, and R. Seager, 2015: North American Pan-Continental Drought in Model Simulations of the Last Millennium. J. Climate, 28, 5, 2025-2043, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00634.1.

Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook and R. Seager, 2015: Are Simulated Megadroughts in the North American Southwest Forced? J. Climate, 28, 124-142, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00071.1.

Pascolini-Campbell, M.A., R. Seager, D.S. Gutzler, B.I. Cook and D. Griffin, 2015: Causes of Interannual to Decadal Variability of Gila River Streamflow over the past Century. J. Hydrol. Regional Sys., 3, doi:10.1016/j.ejrh.2015.02.013, 494-508.

Seager, R, M. Hoerling, S. Schubert, H. Wang, B. Lyon, A. Kumar, J. Nakamura, N. Henderson, 2015: Causes of the 2011 to 2014 California drought. J. Climate, 28, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00860.1, 6997-7024.

Seager, R., A. Hooks, A.P. Williams, B. Cook, J. Nakamua and N. Henderson, 2015: Climatology, Variability andTrends in U.S. Vapor Pressure Deficit, an Important Fire-Related Meteorological Quality. J. App. Meteor. Climat., 54, 1121-1141, DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0321.1.

Simpson, I.R., R. Seager, M. Ting and T.A. Shaw, 2015: Causes of change in Northern Hemisphere winter meridional winds and regional hydroclimate. Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/NCLIMATE2783.

Smerdon, J.E., B.I. Cook, E.R. Cook and R. Seager, 2015: Bridging Past and Future Climate Across Paleoclimatic Reconstructions, Observations, and Models: A Hydroclimate Case Study. J. Climate, 28: 3213-3231, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00417.1.

Williams, A.P., R. Seager, J.T. Abatzoglou, B.I. Cook, J.E. Smerdon and E.R. Cook, 2015: Contribution of anthropogenic warming to California drought during 2012–2014. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, doi:10.1002/2015GL064924. Supplemental

Williams, A.P., R.E. Schwartz, S. Lacobellis, R. Seager, B.I. Cook, C.J. Still, G. Husak and J. Michaelsen, 2015: Urbanization causes increased cloud base height and decreased fog in coastal Southern California. Geo. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1002/2015GL063266.


Ballard, T., R. Seager, J. Smerdon, B. Cook, A.J. Ray, B. Rajagopalan, Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura and N. Henderson, 2014: Hydroclimate Variability and Change in the Prairie Pothole Region, the “Duck Factory” of North America. Earth Interactions, V18, N14, p 1-28.

Cook, B.I., R. Seager and J.E. Smerdon, 2014: The worst North American drought year of the last millennium: 1934. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, doi:10.1002/2014GL061661.

Cook, B.I., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, and E.R. Cook, 2014: Pan-continental droughts in North America over the last millennium. J. Climate, 27, 1, 383-397, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00100.1.

Cook, B.I., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager and S. Coats, 2014: Global warming and 21st century drying. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2075-y.

Seager, R. and M. Hoerling, 2014: Atmosphere and Ocean Origins of North American Droughts. J. Climate, 27: 4581-4606.

Seager, R., L. Goddard, J. Nakamura, N. Henderson and D. Lee, 2014: Dynamical causes of the 2010/11 Texas-northern Mexico drought. J. Hydrometeorology, 15, 39-68, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-13-024.1.

Seager, R., D. Neelin, I. Simpson, H. Liu, N. Henderson, T. Shaw, Y. Kushnir, M. Ting and B. Cook, 2014: Dynamical and thermodynamical causes of large-scale changes in the hydrological cycle over North America in response to global warming. J. Climate, 27: 7921-7948, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00153.1.

Williams, A.P., R. Seager, M. Berkelhammer, A. Macalady, M. Crimmins, T. Swetnam, A. Trugman, N. Buenning, N. Hryniw, N. McDowell, D. Noone, C. Mora and T. Rahn, 2014: Causes and Implications of Extreme Atmospheric Moisture Demand during the Record-Breaking 2011 Wildfire Season in the Southwest United States. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 53, 2671-2684, doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0053.1.

Williams, A.P., R. Seager, A.K. Macalady, M. Berkelhammer, M.A. Crimmins, T.W. Swetnam, A.T. Trugman, N. Buenning, D. Noone, N.G. McDowell, N. Hryniw, C.I. Mora and T. Rahn, 2014: Correlations between components of the water balance and burned area reveal new insights for predicting forest fire area in the southwest United States. Inter. J. Wildland Fire, 24, 14-26, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF14023.


Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook and R. Seager, 2013: Stationarity of the tropical pacific teleconnection to North America in CMIP5/PMIP3 model simulations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 4927–4932, doi:10.1002/grl.50938.