Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University 61 Route 9W Palisades, NY 10964

Other, more general, publications on North American and Global Hydroclimate Variability and Change can be found here: Drought Research here:

NEW NOAA DROUGHT TASK FORCE ASSESSMENT REPORT: Causes and Predictability of the 2011 to 2014 California Drought


Cook, B.I., R. Seager, D.J. Burnette and A.J. Ray, 2015: Seasonal shifts in hydroclimate and 21st century warming in Western North America. J. Hydrometeorology, submitted.

Seager, R, M. Hoerling, S. Schubert, H. Wang, B. Lyon, A. Kumar, J. Nakamura, N. Henderson, 2015: Causes of the 2011 to 2014 California drought. J. Climate, in revision.

Biasutti, M., and R. Seager, 2015: Projected changes in US rainfall erosivity. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2945–2961, doi:10.5194/hess-19-2945.

Coats, S., B. Cook, J. Smerdon, and R. Seager, 2015: North American Pan-Continental Drought in Model Simulations of the Last Millennium. J. Climate, 28, 5, 2025-2043, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00634.1.

Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook and R. Seager, 2015: Are Simulated Megadroughts in the North American Southwest Forced? J. Climate, 28, 124-142, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00071.1.

Pascolini-Campbell, M.A., R. Seager, D.S. Gutzler, B.I. Cook and D. Griffin, 2015: Causes of Interannual to Decadal Variability of Gila River Streamflow over the past Century. J. Hydrol. Regional Sys., 3, doi:10.1016/j.ejrh.2015.02.013, 494-508.

Seager, R., A. Hooks, A.P. Williams, B. Cook, J. Nakamua and N. Henderson, 2015: Climatology, Variability andTrends in U.S. Vapor Pressure Deficit, an Important Fire-Related Meteorological Quality. J. App. Meteor. Climat., 54, 1121-1141, DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0321.1.

Smerdon, J.E., B.I. Cook, E.R. Cook and R. Seager, 2015: Bridging Past and Future Climate Across Paleoclimatic Reconstructions, Observations, and Models: A Hydroclimate Case Study. J. Climate, 28: 3213-3231, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00417.1.

Williams, A.P., R.E. Schwartz, S. Lacobellis, R. Seager, B.I. Cook, C.J. Still, G. Husak and J. Michaelsen, 2015: Urbanization causes increased cloud base height and decreased fog in coastal Southern California. Geo. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1002/2015GL063266.


Ballard, T., R. Seager, J. Smerdon, B. Cook, A.J. Ray, B. Rajagopalan, Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura and N. Henderson, 2014: Hydroclimate Variability and Change in the Prairie Pothole Region, the “Duck Factory” of North America. Earth Interactions, V18, N14, p 1-28.

Cook, B.I., R. Seager and J.E. Smerdon, 2014: The worst North American drought year of the last millennium: 1934. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, doi:10.1002/2014GL061661.

Cook, B.I., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, and E.R. Cook, 2014: Pan-continental droughts in North America over the last millennium. J. Climate, 27, 1, 383-397, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00100.1.

Cook, B.I., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager and S. Coats, 2014: Global Warming and Drought in the 21st Century. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2075-y.

Seager, R. and M. Hoerling, 2014: Atmosphere and Ocean Origins of North American Droughts. J. Climate, 27: 4581-4606.

Seager, R., L. Goddard, J. Nakamura, N. Henderson and D. Lee, 2014: Dynamical causes of the 2010/11 Texas-northern Mexico drought. J. Hydrometeorology, 15, 39-68, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-13-024.1.

Seager, R., D. Neelin, I. Simpson, H. Liu, N. Henderson, T. Shaw, Y. Kushnir, M. Ting and B. Cook, 2014: Dynamical and thermodynamical causes of large-scale changes in the hydrological cycle over North America in response to global warming. J. Climate, 27: 7921-7948, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00153.1.

Williams, A.P., R. Seager, M. Berkelhammer, A. Macalady, M. Crimmins, T. Swetnam, A. Trugman, N. Buenning, N. Hryniw, N. McDowell, D. Noone, C. Mora and T. Rahn, 2014: Causes and Implications of Extreme Atmospheric Moisture Demand during the Record-Breaking 2011 Wildfire Season in the Southwest United States. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 53, 2671-2684, doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0053.1.

Williams, A.P., R. Seager, A.K. Macalady, M. Berkelhammer, M.A. Crimmins, T.W. Swetnam, A.T. Trugman, N. Buenning, D. Noone, N.G. McDowell, N. Hryniw, C.I. Mora and T. Rahn, 2014: Correlations between components of the water balance and burned area reveal new insights for predicting forest fire area in the southwest United States. Inter. J. Wildland Fire, 24, 14-26, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF14023.


Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook and R. Seager, 2013: Stationarity of the tropical pacific teleconnection to North America in CMIP5/PMIP3 model simulations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 4927–4932, doi:10.1002/grl.50938.