Predicting the Dust Bowl

drought

LAMONT-DOHERTY EARTH OBSERVATORY THE EARTH INSTITUTE AT COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY
	Drought Research

Global Decadal Hydroclimate


	Publications: The following research papers on North American drought and its global context can be downloaded: Yang, W., R. Seager and M.A. Cane, 2013: Zonal Momentum Balance in the Tropical Atmospheric Circulation during the Global Monsoon Mature Months. J. Atmos. Sci., 70: 583-599, DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0140.1. PDF Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, B.I. Cook and J.F. González-Rouco, 2013: Megadroughts in Southwestern North America in ECHO-G Millennial Simulations and their Comparison to Proxy Drought Reconstructions. J. Climate, submitted. PDF Cook, B.I., and R. Seager, 2013: The response of the North American Monsoon to increased greenhouse gas forcing. J. Geophys. Res., submitted. PDF Kelley, C., M. Ting, R. Seager and Y. Kushnir, 2012: Mediterranean precipitation climatology, seasonal cycle, and trend as simulated by CMIP5. Geophys. Res. Lett. 39, L21703, doi:10.1029/2012GL053416. PDF Seager, R., L. Goddard, J. Nakamura, N. Henderson and D. Lee, 2013: Dynamical causes of the 2010/11 Texas-northern Mexico drought. J. Hydrometeorology, submitted. PDF Seager, R. and N. Naik, 2012: A mechanisms-based approach for detecting recent anthropogenic hydroclimate change. J. Climate, 25, 1, 236-261. PDF Ting, M., Y. Kushnir, R. Seager and L. Cuihua, 2011: Robust features of Atlantic m ulti-decadal variability and its climate impacts. GRL, 38, L17705, doi:10.1029/2011GL048712. PDF Cook, B.I., R. Seager and R.L. Miller, 2011: The impact of devegetated dune fields on North American climate during the late Medieval Climate Anomaly. Geo. Res. Lett., 38, L14704, doi:10.1029/2011GL047566. PDF Seager, R., N. Pederson, Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura and S. Jurburg, 2011: The 1960s drought and the subsequent shift to a wetter climate in the Catskill Mountains region of the New York City watershed. J. Climate, 25, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00518.1, 6,721-6,742. PDF Seager, R., N. Naik and L. Vogel, 2011: Does global warming cause intensified interannual hydroclimate variability? J. Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00363.1, PDF Burgman, R., R. Seager, A. C. Clement and C. Herweijer, 2010: Role of tropical Pacific SSTs in global medieval hydroclimate: A modeling study. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37(L06705): DOI:10.1029/2009GL042239. PDF Cook, B.I., R. Seager and R. Miller, 2010: On the causes and dynamics of the early twentieth century North American pluvial. J. Climate, in press, doi:10.1175/2011JCLI4201.1. PDF Cook, B.I., R. Seager and R. Miller, 2010: Atmospheric circulation anomalies during two persistent North American droughts: 1932-1939 and 1948-1957. Climate Dynamics: DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0807-1.PDF Cook, B.I., E.R. Cook, K.J. Anchukaitis, R. Seager and R. L. Miller, 2010: Forced and unforced variability of twentieth century North American droughts and pluvials. Climate Dynamics: DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0897-9. PDF Kushnir, Y. , R. Seager, M. Ting, N. Naik and J. Nakamura, 2010: Mechanisms of Tropical Atlantic SST Influence on North American Precipitation Variability. Journal of Climate, 23: DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3172.1. PDF Seager, R., N. Naik and G.A. Vecchi, 2010: Thermodynamic and dynamic mechanisms for large-scale changes in the hydrological cycle in response to global warming. J. Climate, 23: 4651-4668. PDF Seager, R., N.H. Naik, M.F. Ting, M.A. Cane, N. Harnik, Y. Kushnir, 2010: Adjustment of the atmospheric circulation to tropical Pacific SST anomalies: Variability of transient eddy propagation in the Pacific-North America sector, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136: 277-296. DOI: 10.1002/qj.588. PDF Seager, R. and Vecchi, G.A., 2010: Greenhouse warming and the 21st Century hydroclimate of southwestern North America, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,doi/10.1073/pnas.0709640104. PDF Cook, B.I., R. L. Miller and R. Seager, 2009: Amplification of the North American Dust Bowl drought through human-induced land degradation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 106(13): 4997-5001. PDF Cook, E.R., R. Seager, R.R. Heim, R.S. Vose, C. Herweijer, C. Woodhouse, 2009: Megadroughts in North America: Placing IPCC Projections of Hydroclimatic Change in a Long-Term Paleoclimate Context. Journal of Quaternary Science, DOI: 10.1002/jqs.1303. PDF Karnauskas KB, Seager R, Kaplan A, Kushnir Y, Cane MA, 2009: Observed strengthening of the zonal sea surface temperature gradient across the equatorial Pacific Ocean, Journal of Climate, 22, 4316-4321. PDF Seager, R., M. Ting, M. Davis, M.A. Cane, N. Naik, J. Nakamura, C. Li, E. Cook and D.W. Stahle, 2009: Mexican drought: An observational, modeling and tree ring study of variability and climate change, Atmosfera, 22, (1), 1-31. PDF Seager, R., A. Tzanova and J. Nakamura, 2009: Drought in the Southeastern United States: Causes, variability over the last millennium and the potential for future hydroclimate chan ge, Journal of Climate, 22, 5021-5045. PDF Stahle, D.W., E.R. Cook, J. Villanueva Díaz, F. K. Fye, D. J. Burnette, R. D. Griffin, R. Acuña Soto, R. Seager, and R. R. Heim Jr., 2009: Early 21st-Century Drought in Mexico, EOS, Vol. 90, No. 11, March 2009, 89-100. PDF Cook, B.I., R.L. Miller and R. Seager, 2008: Dust and sea surface temperature forcing of the 1930's 'Dust Bowl' drought. Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 35, L08710, DOI:10.1029/2008GL033486. PDF Herweijer, C. and R. Seager, 2008: The Global Footprint of Persistent Extra-tropical Drought in the Instrumental Era. International Journal of Climatology, 28(13): 1761-1774. PDF Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, M.F. Ting, M. Cane, N. Naik and J. Velez, 2008. Would advance knowledge of 1930s SSTs have allowed prediction of the Dust Bowl drought? Journal of Climate, 21, p. 3261-3281. DOI: 10.1175/2007JCLI2134.1. PDF Cook, E.R., R. Seager, M.A. Cane and D.W. Stahle, 2007: North American Drought: Reconstructions, Causes, and Consequences. Earth Science Reviews, 81, 93-134. PDF Herweijer, C., R. Seager, E.R. Cook and J. Emile-Geay, 2007: North American Droughts of the last Millennium from a Gridded Network of Tree-ring Data. Journal of Climate, 20, 1353-1376. PDF Schubert, Siegfried, Randal Koster, Martin Hoerling, Richard Seager, Dennis Lettenmaier, Arun Kumar and David Gutzler, 2007: Predicting Drought on Seasonal-to-Decadal Time Scales. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 88(10): 1625-1630. PDF Seager, R., M.F. Ting, I.M. Held, Y. Kushnir, J. Lu, G. Vecchi, H.-P. Huang, N. Harnik, A. Leetmaa, N.-C. Lau, C. Li, J. Velez, N. Naik, 2007: Model Projections of an Imminent Transition to a More Arid Climate in Southwestern North America, Science, 316, (5828), 1181 - 1184 DOI: 10.1126/science.1139601. PDF Seager, R., R. Burgman, Y. Kushnir, A. Clement, E. Cook, N. Naik and J. Velez, 2007: Tropical Pacific forcing of North American Medieval megadroughts: Testing the concept with an atmosphere model forced by coral-reconstructed SSTs, Journal of Climate, 21(23): 6175-6190. PDF Seager, R., Graham N., Herweijer, C., Gordon, A.L., Kushnir, Y. and E. Cook, 2007: Blueprints for Medieval hydroclimate. Quat. Sci. Rev., DOI:10.1016/j.quascirev.2007.04.020. PDF Seager, R., 2007: The Turn of the Century drought across North America: global context, dynamics and past analogues. Journal of Climate. Vol. 20, 5527-5552. PDF Herweijer, C., R. Seager and E.R. Cook, 2006: North American Droughts of the mid-to-late Nineteenth Century: a history, simulation and implication for Mediaeval drought. The Holocene, 16, 159-171. PDF Huang, H.-P., R. Seager and Y. Kushnir, 2005: The 1976/77 transition in precipitation over the Americas and the influence of tropical SST. Clim. Dyn., 24: 721-740.PDF Seager, R. , N. Harnik, W. A. Robinson, Y. Kushnir, M. Ting, H. Huang and J. Velez, 2005: Mechanisms of ENSO-forcing of hemispherically symmetric precipitation variability. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 131: 1501-1527. PDF Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, C. Herweijer, N. Naik and J. Velez, 2005: Modeling of tropical forcing of persistent droughts and pluvials over western North America: 1856-2000. Journal of Climate, 18, (19), 4068-4091. PDF Cook, E.R., C.A. Woodhouse, C.M. Eakin, D.M. Meko and D.W. Stahle, 2004: Long-term aridity changes in the western United States. Science. 306(5698): 1015-1018.PDF Karspeck, A.R., R. Seager, and M.A. Cane, 2004: Predictability of tropical Pacific decadal variability in an intermediate model, Journal of Climate, 17, (14), 2842-2850.PDF Seager, R., A, Karspeck, M. Cane, Y. Kushnir, A. Giannini, A. Kaplan, B. Kerman and J. Miller, 2004: Predicting Pacific decadal variability. In Earth Climate: The ocean-atmosphere interaction, C. Wang, S.-P. Xie and J. A. Carton, Eds., 105-120, American Geophysical Union, Washington DC. PDF

Maintained by: Virginia DiBlasi-Morris , Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University

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