The GlodecH approach is a continuation of our drought research, the list of publications for which is here.
NEW NOAA DROUGHT TASK FORCE ASSESSMENT REPORT: Causes and Predictability of the 2011 to 2014 California Drought
Xiaoqlong, Li and M. Ting, 2015: Recent and future changes in the Asian monsoon-ENSO
Xiaoqiong, L., M. Ting, C. L and N. Henderson, 2015: Mechanisms of Asian Summer Monsoon Changes in Response to Anthropogenic Forcing in CMIP5 Models. J. Climate, 28, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00559.1.
Williams, A.P., R. Seager, A.K. Macalady, M. Berkelhammer, M.A. Crimmins, T.W. Swetnam, A.T. Trugman, N. Buenning, D. Noone, N.G. McDowell, N. Hryniw, C.I. Mora and T. Rahn, 2015: Correlations between components of the water balance and burned area reveal new insights for predicting forest fire
Yang, W., R. Seager and Mark A. Cane and B Lyon, 2015: The Annual Cycle of East African Precipitation. J. Climate, DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00484.1.
Cook, B.I., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager and S. Coats, 2014: Global Warming and Drought in the 21st Century. Climate Dynamics,. doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2075-y.
Cook, B.I., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager and E.R. Cook, 2014: Pan-continental droughts in North America over the last millennium. J. Climate, 27, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00100.1.
Cook, B.I., R. Seager and J.E. Smerdon, 2014: The worst North American drought year of the last millennium: 1934. Geophys. Res. Lett, 41, doi:10.1002/2014GL061661.
Hoerling, M., J. Eischeid, A. Kumar, R. Leung, A. Mariotti, K. Mo, S. Schubert and R. Seager, 2014: Causes and Predictability of the 2012 Great Plains Drought. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society: 269-282.
Seager, R., D. Neelin, I. Simpson, H. Liu, N. Henderson, T. Shaw, Y. Kushnir, M. Ting and B. Cook, 2014: Dynamical and thermodynamical causes of large-scale changes in the hydrological cycle over North America in response to global warming. J. Climate, 27, 7921-7948, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00153.1.
Seager, R. and M. Hoerling, 2014: Atmosphere and Ocean Origins of North American Droughts. J. Climate, 27, 4581-4606.
Seager, R., H. Liu, N. Henderson, I. Simpson, C. Kelley, T. Shaw, Y. Kushnir and M. Ting, 2014: Causes of increasing aridification of the Mediterranean region in response to rising greenhouse gases. J. Climate, 27, 4655-4676, DOI: 10:1175/JCLI-D-13-00446.1.
Yang, W., R. Seager, M.A. Cane and B. Lyons, 2013: The East African Long Rains in Observations and Models. J. Climate, 27,7185-7207, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00447.1.
Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, B.I. Cook and J.F. González-Rouco, 2013: Megadroughts in Southwestern North America in ECHO-G Millennial Simulations and their Comparison to Proxy Drought Reconstructions. J. Climate, 26, 7635-7649, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00603.1.
Cook, B.I., and R. Seager, 2013: The response of the North American Monsoon to increased greenhouse gas forcing. J. Geophys. Res. (Atmospheres), 118,1690-1699, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50111.
Cook, B.I., R. Seager, R.L. Miller and J.A. Mason, 2013: Intensification of North American megadroughts through surface and dust aerosol forcing. J. Climate, 26, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00022.1.
Deplazes, G., A. Lückge, L.C. Peterson, A. Timmermann, Y. Hamann, U. Röhl, K.A. Hughen, C. Laj, M.A. Cane, D.M. Sigman and G.H. Haug, 2013: Links between tropical rainfall and North Atlantic climate during the last glacial period. Nature Geoscience doi:10.1038/ngeo1712.
Gonzalez, P.L.M., L.M. Polvani, R. Seager and G.J.P. Correa, 2013: Stratospheric ozone depletion: a key driver of recent precipitation trends in South Eastern South America. Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1777-x.
Li, J., B. Wang, M. A. Cane, S.-Y. Yim and J.-Y. Lee, 2013: Divergent global precipitation changes induced by natural versus anthropogenic forcing. Nature, doi:10.1038.
McCormick, M., U. Büntgen, M.A. Cane, E. Cook, K. Harper, P. Huybers, T. Litt, S.W. Manning, P.A. Mayewski, A.M. More, K. Nicolussi and W. Tegel, 2013: Climate change under the Roman Empire and its successors, 100 B.C. - 800 A.D. A first synthesis based on multi-proxy natural scientific and historical evidence. J. Interdisciplinary History, XLIII:2, 169-220.
Pederson, N., A.R. Bell, E.R. Cook, U. Lall, N. Devineni, R. Seager, K. Eggleston and K.J. Vranes, 2013: Is an Epic Pluvial Masking the Water Insecurity of the Greater New York City Region? J. Climate, 26, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00723.1.
Seager, R., 2013: Decadal Hydroclimate Variability Across the Americas. In Proceedings National Taiwan University Climate Change Conference, September 2013.
Seager, R., L. Goddard, J. Nakamura, N. Henderson and D. Lee, 2013: Dynamical causes of the 2010/11 Texas-northern Mexico drought. J. Hydrometeorology, 15, 39-68, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-13-024.1.
Seager, R. and N. Henderson, 2013: Diagnostic computation of moisture budgets in the ERA-Interim Reanalysis with reference to analysis of CMIP-archived atmospheric model data. J. Climate, 26, 7876-7901, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00018.1.
Tierney, J.E., J.E Smerdon, K.J. Anchukaitis and R. Seager, 2013: Multidecadal variability in East African hydroclimate controlled by the Indian Ocean. Nature, 493, doi:10.1038/nature11785.
Williams, A.P., C.D. Allen, A.K. Macalady, D. Griffin,C.A. Woodhouse, D.M. Meko, T.W. Swetnam, S.A. Rauscher, R. Seager, H.D. Grissino-Mayer, J.S. Dean, E.R. Cook, C. Gangodagamage, M. Cai and N.G. McDowell, 2013: Temperature as a potent driver of regional forest drought stress and tree mortality. Nat. Clim. Change, 3, 292-297, doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1693.
Wu, Y., R. Seager, T.A. Shaw, M. Ting and N. Naik, 2013: Atmospheric Circulation Response to An Instantaneous Doubling of Carbon Dioxide Part II: Atmospheric Transient Adjustment and its Dynamics. J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00104.1.
Wu, Y., L.M. Polvani and R. Seager, 2013: The Importance of the Montreal Protocol in Protecting the Earth's Hydroclimate. J. Climate, 26, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00675.1.
Yang, W., R. Seager and M.A. Cane, 2013: Zonal Momentum Balance in the Tropical Atmospheric Circulation during the Global Monsoon Mature Months. J. Atmos. Sci., 70, 583-599, doi: 101175/JAS-D-12-0140.1.
Zhang, R., T.L. Delworth, R. Sutton, D.L.R. Hodson, K.W. Dizon, I.M. Held, Y. Kushnir, J. Marshall, Y. Ming, R. Msadek, J. Robson, A.J. Rosati, M. Ting and G.A. Vecchi, 2013: Have Aerosols caused the observed Atlantic Multidecadal Variability? J. Atmos. Sci. (early online): doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0331.1.
Karnauskas, K.B., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager and J.F. Gonzáles-Roucho, 2012: A Pacific Centennial Oscillation Predicted by Coupled GCMs. J. Climate, 25, 5,943, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00421.1
Kelley, C., M. Ting, R. Seager and Y. Kushnir, 2012: Mediterranean precipitation climatology, seasonal cycle, and trend as simulated by CMIP5. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L21703, doi:10.1029/2012GL053416.
Li, B., and J.E. Smerdon, 2012: Defining spatial assessment metrics for evaluation of paleoclimatic field reconstructions of the Common Era. Environmetrics, doi:10.1002/env.2142.
Ruff, T.W., Y. Kushni and R. Seager, 2012: Comparing Twentieth- and Twenty-First-Century Patterns of Interannual Precipitation Variability over the Western United States and Northern Mexico. J. Hydrometeorology, 13: 366-378, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-10-05003.1.
Seager, R., M. Ting, C. Li, N. Naik, B. Cook, J. Nakamura and H. Liu, 2012: Projections of declining surface-water availability for the southwestern United States. Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/nclimate1787.
Seager, R., N. Pederson, Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura and S. Jurburg, 2012: The 1960s drought and the subsequent shift to a wetter climate in the Catskill Mountains region of the New York City watershed watershed. J. Climate, 25, 6721-6742, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00518.1.
Smerdon, J.E., 2012: Climate models as a test bed for climate reconstruction methods: pseudoproxy experiments. WIREs Climate Change, 3:63-77, doi:10.1002/wcc.149.
Wahl, E.R., and J.E. Smerdon, 2012: Comparative performance of paleoclimatic field and index reconstructions derived from climate proxies and noise-only predictors. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L06703, doi:10.1029/2012GL051086.
Wu, Y., R. Seager, M. Ting, N. Naik and T.A. Shaw, 2012a: Atmospheric Circulation Response to An
Cook, B.I., R. Seager and R.L. Miller, 2011: On the causes and dynamics of the early twentieth century North American pluvial. J. Climate, 24, doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI4201.1.
Cook, B.I., R. Seager and R.L. Miller, 2011: The impact of devegetated dune fields on North American climate during the late Medieval Climate Anomaly. Geo. Res.. Lett., 38, L14704, DOI:10.1029/20111GL047566.
D'Arrigo, D., R. Seager, J.E. Smerdon, A.N. LeGrande and E.R. Cook, 2011: The anomalous winter of 1783-1784: Was the Laki eruption or an analog of the 2009-2010 winter to blame? Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L05706, DOI:10.1029/2011GL046696.[AGU Research Spotlight (pdf)] [GRL Editor’s Highlight] [EI Blog Post] [Our Amazing Planet Post] [NOAA/OAR Hot Item].
Kelley, C., M. Ting, R. Seager and Y. Kushnir, 2011: The relative contributions of radiative forcing and internal climate variability to the late 20th Century drying the Mediterranean region. Climate Dynamics, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-011-1221-z .
Seager, R. and R. Burgman, 2011: Medieval hydroclimate revisited. PAGES 19, 10-12.
Seager, R. and N. Naik, 2011: A mechanisms-based approach for detecting recent anthropogenic hydroclimate change. J. Climate, 25, 1, 236-261.Seager, R., N. Naik and L. Vogel, 2011: Does global warming cause intensified interannual hydroclimate variability? J. Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00363.1.
Smerdon, J.E., A. Kaplan, E. Zorita, J.F. González-Rouco, and M.N. Evans, 2011: Spatial Performance of Four Climate Field Reconstruction Methods Targeting the Common Era, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L11705, doi:10.1029/2011GL047372.
Solomon, A., L. Goddard, A. Kumar, J. Carton, C. Deser, I. Kukumori, A.M. Greene, G. Hegerl, B. Kirtman, Y. Kushnir, M. Newman, D. Smith, D. Vimont, T. Delworth, G.A. Meehl, T. Stockdale, 2011: Distinguishing the Roles of Natural and Anthropogenically Forced Decadal Climate Variability. Bull. Amer. Meteo. Soc. ,92, 141-156.
Ting, M., Y. Kushnir, R. Seager and C. Li, 2011: Robust Features of the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Variability and its Climate Impacts. Geophys. Res. Lett., L17705, doi:10.1029/2011GL048712.
Wolff, C., G.H. Haug, A. Timmermann, J.S. Sinninghe Damste, A. Brauer, D.M. Sigman, M.A. Cane, D. Verschuren, 2011: Reduced inter-annual rainfall variability in East Africa during the last ice age. Science, 333, 6043 pp. 743-747, doi: 10.1126/science.1203724.
Kushnir, Y and M. Stein, 2010: North Atlantic influence on 19th-20th century rainfall in the Dead Sea watershed, teleconnections with the Sahel, and implication for Holocene climate fluctuations. Quaternary Science Reviews, 29, 3843-3860.
Wu, Y., M. Ting, R. Seager, M.A. Cane and H.-P. Huang, 2010: Changes in storm tracks and energy transports in a warmer climate simulated by the GFDL CM2.1 model. Climate Dynamics: DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0776-4.