Smerdon Group Publications

Publications can be accessed via the OCP Division of LDEO, the

Columbia University Academic Commons, or through the links below.

Citation metrics are available through ResearcherID: F-9952-2011

*Indicates advised student.

Books and Chapters

Masson-Delmotte, V., et al., Information from paleoclimate archives, Assessment Report 5, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Chpt. 5, in preparation.

Monteleoni, C., G.A. Schmidt, F. Alexander, A. Niculescu-Mizil, K. Steinhaeuser, M. Tippett, A. Banerjee, M.B. Blumenthal, A.R. Ganguly, J.E. Smerdon, M. Tedesco, Climate Informatics, In Computational Intelligent Data Analysis for Sustainable Development; Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery Series. Yu, T., Chawla, N., and Simoff, S. (Eds.), CRC Press, 2013.

Smerdon, J.E., Student Companion to Climate Change: The Science of Global Warming and Our Energy Future by E.A. Mathez, Columbia University Press, New York, NY, 2009, pp. 277-309.

Manuscripts In Review

*Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook and R. Seager, Teleconnection Stability over North America in CMIP5/PMIP3 Model Simulations, Geophysical Research Letters, submitted.

Cook, B.I., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager and E.R. Cook, Regional differences in North American drought variability and a paleo context for the occurrence of pan-continental droughts, Journal of Climate, submitted.

2013

36. PAGES 2k Consortium (2013), Continental-scale temperature variability over the last two millennia, Nature Geoscience, 6, 339-346, doi:10.1038/ngeo1797. [PAGES FAQ]

35. *Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, B.I. Cook and J.F. González-Rouco (2013), Megadroughts in Southwest North America in Millennium-Length ECHO-G Simulations and their Comparison to Proxy Drought Reconstructions, Journal of Climate, in press. [Nature News] [Scientific American Blog]

34. Smerdon, J.E., A. Kaplan and *D.E. Amrhein (2013), Reply to comment by Rutherford et al. on "Erroneous Model Field Representations in Multiple Pseudoproxy Studies: Corrections and Implications", Journal of Climate, in press. [Supplementary Website] [Rutherford et al. Comment]

33. Tierney, J.E., J.E. Smerdon, K.J. Anchukaitis, and R. Seager (2013), Multidecadal variability in East African hydroclimate controlled by the Indian Ocean, Nature, 493, 389-392. [WHOI Press Release]

32. Werner, J.P., J. Luterbacher, and J.E. Smerdon (2013), A Pseudoproxy Evaluation of Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling and Canonical Correlation Analysis for Climate Field Reconstructions over Europe, Journal of Climate, 26(3), 851-867.

2012

31. Karnauskas, K.B., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, and J.F. González-Rouco (2012), A Pacific centennial oscillation predicted by coupled GCMs, Journal of Climate, 25, 5943-5961.

30. Li, B., and J.E. Smerdon (2012), Defining spatial assessment metrics for evaluation of paleoclimatic field reconstructions of the Common Era, Environmetrics, 23(5), 394-406.

29. Wahl, E.R., and J.E. Smerdon (2012), Comparative performance of paleoclimatic field and index reconstructions derived from climate proxies and noise-only predictors, Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L06703, doi:10.1029/2012GL051086. [Auxiliary Material] [Supplementary Website] Please see the small but important correction published for this manuscript.

28. Smerdon, J.E. (2012), Climate models as a test bed for climate reconstruction methods: pseudoproxy experiments, WIREs Climate Change, 3:63-77, doi:10.1002/wcc.149.

2011

27. Beltrami, H., J.E. Smerdon, G. Matharoo, and N. Nickerson (2011), Impact of maximum borehole depths on inverted temperature histories in borehole paleoclimatology, Climate of the Past, 7, 745-756, doi:10.5194/cp-7-745-2011.

26. Smerdon, J.E., A. Kaplan, E. Zorita, J.F. González-Rouco, and M.N. Evans (2011), Spatial performance of four climate field reconstruction methods targeting the Common Era, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L11705, doi:10.1029/2011GL047372. [Auxiliary Materials] [Supplementary Website] [Research Blog Post]

25. D’Arrigo, R., R. Seager, J.E. Smerdon, A.N. LeGrande, and E.R. Cook (2011), The anomalous winter of 1783-1784: Was the Laki eruption or an analog of the 2009-2010 winter to blame?, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L05706, doi:10.1029/2011GL046696. [Auxiliary Materials] [Research Blog Post] [AGU Research Spotlight (pdf)] [GRL Editor’s Highlight] [EI Blog Post] [Our Amazing Planet Post] [NOAA/OAR Hot Item]

24. Smerdon, J.E. (2011), Discussion of: A Statistical Analysis of Multiple Temperature Proxies: Are Reconstructions of Surface Temperatures Over the Last 1000 Years Reliable?, Annals of Applied Statistics, 5(1), 76-79. [Complete AOAS Issue] [Supplementary Materials] [Discussion Wordle] [Research Blog Post]

2010

23. Lesperance, M., J.E. Smerdon and H. Beltrami (2010), Propagation of linear surface air temperature trends into the terrestrial subsurface, Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 115, D21115, doi:10.1029/2010JD014377. [Abstract Wordle]

22. Smerdon, J.E., A. Kaplan, and *D.E. Amrhein (2010), Erroneous Model Field Representations in Multiple Pseudoproxy Studies: Corrections and Implications, Journal of Climate, 23, 5548-5554 doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3742.1. [Supplementary Website] [Abstract Wordle]

21. Smerdon, J.E., A. Kaplan, *D. Chang, and M.N. Evans (2011), A Pseudoproxy Evaluation of the CCA and RegEM Methods for Reconstructing Climate Fields of the Last Millennium, Journal of Climate, 24, 1284-1309, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI4110.1. [Supplementary Website] [Abstract Wordle] Please note that the above linked article was subject to a corrigendum because of a production error at the publisher. The original 2010 article is available online here.

2009

20. Smerdon, J.E., H. Beltrami, C. Creelman, and M.B. Stevens (2009), Characterizing land-surface processes: A quantitative analysis using air-ground thermal orbits, Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 114, D15102, doi:10.1029/2009JD011768. [Abstract Wordle]

2008

19. Smerdon, J.E., A. Kaplan, and *D. Chang (2008), On the Origin of the Standardization Sensitivity in RegEM Climate Field Reconstructions, Journal of Climate, 21(24), 6710-6723. [Abstract Wordle]

18. D'Arrigo, R., R. Allan, R. Wilson, J. Palmer, J. Sakulich, J.E. Smerdon, S. Bijaksana and L. Ode Ngkoimani (2008), Pacific and Indian Ocean climate signals in a tree-ring record of Java monsoon drought, International Journal of Climatology, 28: 1889-1901, doi:10.1002/joc.1679. [Abstract Wordle]

17. Smerdon, J.E., J.F. González-Rouco, and E. Zorita (2008), Comment on "Robustness of proxy-based climate field reconstruction methods" by Michael E. Mann et al., Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 113, D18106, doi:10.1029/2007JD009542. [Rutherford et al. Reply] [Comment Wordle]

16. D'Arrigo, R., and J.E. Smerdon (2008), Tropical climate influences on drought variability over Java, Indonesia, Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L05707, doi:10.1029/2007GL032589. [Supplementary Materials] [Abstract Wordle]

2007

15. Smerdon, J.E., and A. Kaplan (2007), Comment on "Testing the fidelity of methods used in proxy-based reconstructions of past climate": The role of the standardization interval, Journal of Climate, 20(22), 5666-5670. [Supplementary Website] [Mann et al. Reply] [Comment Wordle]

14. Hegerl, G. C., T.J. Crowley, M. Allen, W.T. Hyde, H.N. Pollack, J. Smerdon, and E. Zorita (2007), Detection of Human Influence on a New, Validated 1500-Year Temperature Reconstruction, Journal of Climate, 20(4), 650-666. [Abstract Wordle]

13. Stevens, M.B., J.E. Smerdon, J.F. González-Rouco, M. Stieglitz, and H. Beltrami (2007), Effects of bottom boundary placement on subsurface heat storage: Implications for climate model simulations, Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L02702, doi:10.1029/2006GL028546. [Abstract Wordle]

12. Stieglitz, M. and J.E. Smerdon (2007), Characterizing Land-Atmosphere Coupling and the Implications for Subsurface Thermodynamics, Journal of Climate, 20(1), 21-37. [Abstract Wordle]

2006

11. Smerdon, J.E. and M. Stieglitz (2006), Simulating heat transport of harmonic temperature signals in the Earth's shallow subsurface: Lower-boundary sensitivities, Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L14402, doi:10.1029/2006GL026816. [Abstract Wordle]

10. Smerdon, J.E., H.N. Pollack, V. Cermak, J. W. Enz, M. Kresl, J. Safanda, and J.F. Wehmiller (2006), Daily, seasonal and annual relationships between air and subsurface temperatures, Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 111, D07101, doi:10.1029/2004JD005578. [Abstract Wordle]

9. Pollack, H.N., S. Huang, and J.E. Smerdon (2006), Five centuries of climate change in Australia: The view from underground, Journal of Quaternary Science, 21(7), 701-706. [Abstract Wordle]

2005

8. Pollack, H.N., J.E. Smerdon, and P.E. van Keken (2005), Variable seasonal coupling between air and ground temperatures: A simple representation in terms of subsurface thermal diffusivity, Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L15405, doi:10.1029/2005GL023869.

2004

7. Smerdon, J.E., H.N. Pollack, V. Cermak, J. W. Enz, M. Kresl, J. Safanda, and J.F. Wehmiller (2004), Air-ground temperature coupling and subsurface propagation of annual temperature signals, Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 109, D21107, doi:10.1029/2004JD005056.

6. Pollack, H. N., and J.E. Smerdon (2004), Borehole climate reconstructions: Spatial structure and hemispheric averages, Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 109, D11106, doi:10.1029/2003JD004163. [Rutherford and Mann Correction]

2003

5. Smerdon, J.E., H. N. Pollack, J. W. Enz, and M. J. Lewis (2003), Conduction-dominated heat transport of the annual temperature signal in soil, Journal of Geophysical Research - Solid Earth, 108(B9), 2431, doi:10.1029/2002JB002351.

4. Pollack, H.N., D.Y. Demezhko, A.D. Duchkov, I.V. Golovanova, S. Huang, V.A. Shchapov, and J.E. Smerdon (2003), Surface temperature trends in Russia over the past five centuries reconstructed from borehole temperatures, Journal of Geophysical Research - Solid Earth, 108(B4), 2180, doi:10.1029/2002JB002154.

3. England, A.W., X. Lin, J.E. Smerdon, and H.N. Pollack (2003), The Influence of Soil Moisture Upon the Geothermal Climate Signal, IGARSS Proceedings, IEEE International, 1, 419-421, doi:10.1109/IGARSS.2003.1293795'.

2. Lin, X., J.E. Smerdon, A.W. England, and H.N. Pollack (2003), A model study of the effects of climatic precipitation changes on ground temperatures, Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 108(D7), doi:10.1029/2002JD002878.

2002

1. Beltrami, H., J.E. Smerdon, H.N. Pollack, and S. Huang (2002), Continental heat gain in the global climate system, Geophysical Research Letters, 29(8), doi:10.1029/2001GL014310 (Chosen as a GRL Editor's Highlight).

Can't get enough of the Wordle? Here are a few more from yours truly.