An emissions-based view of climate forcing by methane and tropospheric ozone

Publication Status is "Submitted" Or "In Press: 
LDEO Publication: 
Publication Type: 
Year of Publication: 
2005
Editor: 
Journal Title: 
Geophysical Research Letters
Journal Date: 
Feb 18
Place Published: 
Tertiary Title: 
Volume: 
32
Issue: 
4
Pages: 
-
Section / Start page: 
Publisher: 
ISBN Number: 
0094-8276
ISSN Number: 
Edition: 
Short Title: 
Accession Number: 
ISI:000227213100004
LDEO Publication Number: 
Call Number: 
Abstract: 

We simulate atmospheric composition changes in response to increased methane and tropospheric ozone precursor emissions from the preindustrial to present-day in a coupled chemistry-aerosol-climate model. The global annual average composition response to all emission changes is within 10% of the sum of the responses to individual emissions types, a more policy-relevant quantity. This small non-linearity between emission types permits attribution of past global mean methane and ozone radiative forcings to specific emissions despite the well-known nonlinear linear response to emissions of a single type. The emissions-based based view indicates that methane emissions have contributed a forcing of similar to0.8 - 0.9 W m(-2), nearly double the abundance-based value, while the forcing from other ozone precursors has been quite small ( similar to-0.1 for NOx, similar to0.2 for CO + VOCs).

Notes: 

900KFTimes Cited:18Cited References Count:22

DOI: 
Doi 10.1029/2004gl021900