Climate change and trace gases

Publication Status is "Submitted" Or "In Press: 
LDEO Publication: 
Publication Type: 
Year of Publication: 
2007
Editor: 
Journal Title: 
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society a-Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences
Journal Date: 
Jul 15
Place Published: 
Tertiary Title: 
Volume: 
365
Issue: 
1856
Pages: 
1925-1954
Section / Start page: 
Publisher: 
ISBN Number: 
1364-503X
ISSN Number: 
Edition: 
Short Title: 
Accession Number: 
ISI:000247780800018
LDEO Publication Number: 
Call Number: 
Abstract: 

Palaeoclimate data show that the Earth's climate is remarkably sensitive to global forcings. Positive feedbacks predominate. This allows the entire planet to be whipsawed between climate states. One feedback, the 'albedo flip' property of ice/water, provides a powerful trigger mechanism. A climate forcing that 'flips' the albedo of a sufficient portion of an ice sheet can spark a cataclysm. Inertia of ice sheet and ocean provides only moderate delay to ice sheet disintegration and a burst of added global warming. Recent greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions place the Earth perilously close to dramatic climate chan-e that could run out of our control. with great dangers for humans and other creatures. Carbon dioxide (CO2) is the largest human-made climate forcing, but other trace constituents are also important. Only intense simultaneous efforts to Slow CO2 emissions and reduce non-Co-2 forcings can keep climate within or near the range of the past million years. The most important of the non-CO2 forcings is methane (CH4), as it causes the second largest human-made GHG climate forcing and is the principal cause of increased tropospheric ozone (03), which is the third largest GHG forcing. Nitrous oxide (N2O) should also be a focus of climate mitigation efforts. Black carbon ('black soot') has a high global warming potential (approx. 2000, 500 and 200 for 20, 100 and 500, years, respectively) and deserves greater attention. Some forcings are especially effective at high latitudes, so concerted efforts to reduce their emissions could preserve Arctic ice, while also having major benefits for human health, agricultural productivity and the global environment.

Notes: 

186LSTimes Cited:13Cited References Count:80

DOI: 
DOI 10.1098/rsta.2007.2052