Forecasting eastern Mediterranean droughts

Publication Status is "Submitted" Or "In Press: 
LDEO Publication: 
Publication Type: 
Journal Article
Year of Publication: 
2000
Authors: 
Eshel, G.; Cane, M. A.; Farrell, B. F.
Editor: 
Journal Title: 
Monthly Weather Review
Journal Date: 
Oct
Place Published: 
Tertiary Title: 
Volume: 
128
Issue: 
10
Pages: 
3618-3630
Section / Start page: 
Publisher: 
ISBN Number: 
0027-0644
ISSN Number: 
Edition: 
Short Title: 
Accession Number: 
ISI:000090040300015
LDEO Publication Number: 
Call Number: 
Key Words: 
north-atlantic oscillation; sea-surface temperature; decadal climate variability; gulf-stream; predictability; winter; pacific; america; skill; ocean;
Abstract: 

A dynamically motivated statistical forecasting scheme for eastern Mediterranean winter rainfall is presented. The scheme is based on North Atlantic sea level pressure precursors. The resulting forecasts are robust and statistically significant at similar to 13 months lead time, and improve at similar to7 months lead. It is suggested that these Forecasts form a foundation for an operational early-warning system for eastern Mediterranean droughts.

Notes: 

367AYTimes Cited:12Cited References Count:39

URL: 
<Go to ISI>://000090040300015
DOI: