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Publications submitted:

  • S.D. Ditchek, W.R. Boos, S.J. Camargo, and M.K. Tippett, 2015. A genesis index for monsoon disturbances. Journal of Climate, submitted, September (2015).

  • R. Han, H. Wang, Z.-Z. Hu, A. Kumar, W. Li, L. N. Long, J.-K. E. Schemm, P. Peng, W. Wang, D. Si, X. Jia, M. Zhao, G. A. Vecchi, T. E. LaRow, Y.-K. Lim, S. D. Schubert, S.J. Camargo, N. Henderson, J. A. Jonas, and K. J. E. Walsh, 2015. An assessment of multi-model simulations on the variability of western North Pacific tropical cyclones and its association with ENSO. Journal of Climate, submitted, October (2015).

  • L.M. Polvani, S.J. Camargo, and R.R. Garcia, 2015. The importance of the Montreal Protocol in mitigating the potential intensity of tropical cyclones. Journal of Climate, submitted March (2015), revised July (2015), in review.

  • A. Seth, K. Fernandes, and S.J. Camargo, 2015. Two summers of São Paulo drought: Origins in the western tropical Pacific. Geophysical Research Letters, submitted September (2015).

Publications accepted and in press:

  • S.J. Camargo and S.M. Hsiang, 2015. Tropical Cyclones: From the influence of climate to their socio-economic impacts, in Extreme Events: Observations, Modeling and Economics , M. Chaves, M. Ghil and J. Urrutia-Fucugauchi, editors, AGU Monograph, in press, Willey-Blackwell, ISBN: 978-1-119-15701-4.

Publications in peer reviewed journals:

  • S.J. Camargo and A.A. Wing, 2015. Tropical cyclones in climate models. WIREs Climate Change, early online, doi:10.1002/wcc373.

  • L.-P. Caron, M. Boudreault, and S.J. Camargo, 2015. On the variability and predictability of eastern North Pacific tropical cyclone activity. Journal of Climate, early online, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0377.1.

  • A.S. Daloz, S.J. Camargo, J.P. Kossin, K. Emanuel, M. Horn, J.A. Jonas, D. Kim, T. LaRow, Y.-K. Lim, C.M. Patricola, M. Roberts, E. Scoccimarro, D. Shaevitz, P.L. Vidale, H. Wang, M. Wehner, and M. Zhao, 2015. Cluster analysis of explicitly and downscaled simulated North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks. Journal of Climate, 28, 1333-1361, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00646.1.

  • J.G. Dwyer, S.J. Camargo, A.H. Sobel, M. Biasutti, K.A. Emanuel, G.A. Vecchi, M. Zhao, and M.K. Tippett, 2015. Projected 21st century changes in the length of the tropical cyclone season. Journal of Climate, 28, 6181-6192, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00686.1.

  • C.-Y. Lee, M.K. Tippett, S.J. Camargo, and A.H. Sobel, 2015. Probabilistic prediction of tropical cyclone intensity from a multiple-linear regression model. Monthly Weather Review, 143, 933-954, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-14-000171.1.

  • M. Ting, S.J. Camargo, C. Li, and Y. Kushnir, 2015. Natural and forced North Atlantic hurricane potential intensity change in CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, 28, 3926-3942, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00520.1.

  • K.J.E. Walsh, S.J. Camargo, G.A. Vecchi. A.S. Daloz, J. Elsner, K. Emanuel, M. Horn, Y.-K. Lim, M. Roberts, C. Patricola, E. Scoccimarro, A.H. Sobel, S. Strazzo, G. Villarini, M. Wehner, M. Zhao, J. Kossin, T. LaRow, K. Oouchi, S. Schubert, H. Wang, J. Bacmeister, P. Chang, F. Chauvin, C. Jablonowski, H. Murakami, T. Ose, K.A. Reed, R. Saravanan, Y. Yamada, C.M. Zarzycki, P.L. Vidale, J.A. Jonas, and N. Henderson, 2015. Hurricanes and climate: The U.S. CLIVAR working group on hurricanes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, 997-1017, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00242.1. Correction, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, 1440, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00232.1

  • K.J.E. Walsh, J.L. McBride, P.J. Klotzbach, S. Balachandran, S.J. Camargo, G. Holland, T.R. Knutson, J.P. Kossin, T.-C. Lee, A. Sobel, and M. Sugi, 2015. Tropical cyclones and climate change. WIREs Climate Change, early online, doi:10.1002/wcc371.

  • S.J. Camargo, M.K. Tippett, A.H. Sobel, G.A. Vecchi, and M. Zhao, 2014. Testing the performance of tropical cyclone genesis indices in future climates using the HIRAM model. Journal of Climate, 27, 9171-9196, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00505.1.

  • M. Horn, K. Walsh, M. Zhao, S.J. Camargo, E. Scoccimarro, H. Murakami, H. Wang, A. Ballinger, A. Kumar, D.A. Shaevitz, J.A. Jonas, K. Oouchi, 2014. Tracking scheme dependence of simulated tropical cyclone response to idealized climate simulations. Journal of Climate, 27, 9197-9213, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00200.1.

  • E. Maloney, S.J. Camargo, E. Chang, B. Colle, R. Fu, K. Geil, Q. Hu, X. Jiang, N. Johnson, K. Karnauskas, J. Kinter, B. Kirtman, S. Kumar, B. Langenbrunner, K. Lombardo, L. Long, A. Mariotti, J. Meyerson, K. Mo, D. Neelin, Z. Pan, R. Seager, Y. Serra, A. Seth, J. Sheffield, J. Stroeve, J. Thibeault, S.-P. Xie, C. Wang, B. Wyman, M. Zhao, 2014. North American Climate in the CMIP5 experiments. Part III: Assessment of 21st century projections. Journal of Climate, 27, 2230-2270, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00273.1.

  • D.A. Shaevitz, S.J. Camargo, A.H. Sobel, J.A. Jonas, D. Kim, A. Kumar, T.E. LaRow, Y.-K. Lim, H. Murakami, K. Reed, M.J. Roberts, E. Scoccimarro, P.L. Vidale, H. Wang, M.F. Wehner, M. Zhao, and N. Henderson, 2014. Characteristics of tropical cyclones in high-resolution models of the present climate. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 6, 1154-1172, doi: 10.1002/2014MS000372.

  • B. Tang and S.J. Camargo, 2014. Environmental control of tropical cyclones in CMIP5: A ventilation perspective. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 6, 115-128, doi: 10.1002/2013MS000294.

  • M.K. Tippett, A.H. Sobel, S.J. Camargo, and J.T. Allen, 2014. An empirical relation between U.S. tornado activity and monthly environmental parameters. Journal of Climate, 27, 2983-2999, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00345.1.

  • H. Wang, L. Long, A. Kumar, W. Wang, J.-K. E. Schemm, M. Zhao, G.A. Vecchi, T.E. LaRow, Y.-K. Lim, S.D. Schubert, D.A. Shaevitz, S.J. Camargo, N. Henderson, D. Kim, J.A. Jonas, and K.J.E. Walsh, 2014. How well do global climate models simulate the variability of Atlantic tropical cyclones associated with ENSO. Journal of Climate, 27, 5673-5692, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00625.1.

  • S. Wang, S.J. Camargo, A.H. Sobel, and L.M. Polvani, 2014. Impact of the tropopause temperature on the intensity of tropical cyclones - an idealized study using a mesoscale model. Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 71, 4333-4348, doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-14-0029.1.
  • S.J. Camargo, 2013. Global and regional aspects of tropical cyclone activity in the CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, 26, 9880-9902, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00549.1. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo, M. Ting, and Y. Kushnir, 2013. Influence of local and remote SST on North Atlantic tropical cyclone potential intensity, Climate Dynamics, 40, 1515-1529, doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1536-4. PDF

  • A. Seth, S.A. Rauscher, M. Biasutti, A. Giannini, S.J. Camargo, and M. Rojas, 2013. CMIP5 Projected Changes in the Annual Cycle of Precipitation. Journal of Climate, 26, 7328-7351, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00726.1. PDF

  • J. Sheffield, S.J. Camargo, R. Fu, Q. Hu, X. Jiang, K.B. Karnauskas, S.T. Kim, J. Kinter, S. Kumar, B. Langenbrunner, E.D. Maloney, A. Mariotti, J.E. Meyerson, N. Johnson, J.D. Neelin, S. Nigam, Z. Pan, A. Ruiz-Barradas, R. Seager, Y.L. Serra, D.-Z. Sun, C. Wang, S.-P. Xie, J.-Y. Yu, T. Zhang, M. Zhao, 2013. North American Climate in the CMIP5 experiments. Part II: Evaluation of 20th century intra-seasonal to decadal variability. Journal of Climate, 26, 9247-9290, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00593.1. PDF

  • J.D. Woodruff, J.L. Irish, and S.J. Camargo, 2013. Coastal flooding by tropical cyclones and sea-level rise. Nature, 504, 44-52, doi:10.1038/nature12855.

  • M. Biasutti, A.H. Sobel, S.J. Camargo, and T.T. Creyts, 2012. Projected changes in the physical climate of the Gulf Coast and Caribbean, Climatic Change, 112, 819-845, doi: 10.1007/s10584-011-0254-y. PDF

  • D. Kim, A.H. Sobel, A. Del Genio, Y. Chen, S.J. Camargo, M.-S. Yao, M. Kelley, and L. Nazarenko, 2012. The tropical subseasonal variability simulated in the NASA GISS general circulation model. Journal of Climate, 25, 4641-4659, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00447.1. PDF

  • R.L. Korty, S.J. Camargo, and J. Galewsky, 2012. Tropical cyclone genesis factors in simulations of the Last Glacial Maximum. Journal of Climate, 25, 4348-4365, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00517.1. PDF

  • R.L. Korty, S.J. Camargo, and J. Galewsky, 2012. Variations in tropical cyclone genesis factors in simulations of the Holocene Epoch. Journal of Climate, 25, 8196-8211, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00033.1. PDF

  • M.E. Kozar, M.E. Mann, S.J. Camargo, J.P. Kossin, and J.L. Evans, 2012. Stratified statistical models of North Atlantic basin-wide and regional tropical cyclone counts. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, D18103, doi: 10.1029/2011JD017170. PDF

  • H.A. Ramsay, S.J. Camargo, and D. Kim, 2012. Cluster analysis of tropical cyclone tracks in the Southern Hemisphere. Climate Dynamics, 39, 897-917, doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1225-8. PDF

  • M.K. Tippett, A.H. Sobel, and S.J. Camargo, 2012. Association of monthly U.S. tornado occurrence with large-scale atmospheric parameters. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L02801, doi:10.1029/2011GL050368. PDF
  • A.T. Evan and S.J. Camargo, 2011. A climatology of Arabian Sea cyclonic storms. Journal of Climate, 24, 140-158, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3611.1. PDF

  • A. Seth, S.A. Rauscher, M. Rojas, A. Giannini, and S.J. Camargo, 2011. Enhanced spring convective barrier for monsoons in a warmer world? Climatic Change, 104, 403-414, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9973-8. PDF

  • A.H. Sobel and S.J. Camargo, 2011. Projected future changes in tropical summer climate. Journal of Climate, 24, 473-487, doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3748.1. PDF

  • M.K. Tippett, S.J. Camargo, and A.H. Sobel, 2011. A Poisson regression index for tropical cyclone genesis and the role of large-scale vorticity in genesis. Journal of Climate, 24, 2335-2357, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3811.1. PDF
  • S.J. Camargo and A.H. Sobel, 2010. Revisiting the influence of the Quasi-biennial oscillation on tropical cyclone activity. Journal of Climate, 23, 5810-5825, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3575.1. PDF

  • J.P. Kossin, S.J. Camargo, and M. Sitkowski, 2010. Climate modulation of North Atlantic hurricane tracks. Journal of Climate, 23, 3057-3076, doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3497.1. PDF
  • M. Biasutti, A.H. Sobel, and S.J. Camargo, 2009. The role of the Sahara Low in Sahel rainfall variability and change in the CMIP3 models. Journal of Climate, 22, 5755-5771, doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2969.1. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo, M.C. Wheeler, and A.H. Sobel, 2009. Diagnosis of the MJO modulation of tropical cyclogenesis using an empirical index, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66, 3061-3074, doi: 10.1175/2009JAS3101.1. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo and A.G. Barnston, 2009. Experimental seasonal dynamical forecasts of tropical cyclone activity at IRI. Weather and Forecasting, 24, 472-491 doi: 10.1175/2008WAF2007099.1. PDF

  • J.P. Kossin and S.J. Camargo, 2009. Hurricane track variability and secular potential intensity trends. Climatic Change, 97, 329-337, doi: 10.1007/s10584-009-9748-2 PDF

  • B. Lyon and S.J. Camargo, 2009. The seasonally-varying influence of ENSO on rainfall and tropical cyclone activity in the Philippines. Climate Dynamics, 32, 125-141, doi: 10.1007/s00382-008-0380-z. PDF

  • J. Nakamura, U. Lall, Y. Kushnir, and S.J. Camargo, 2009. Classifying North Atlantic tropical cyclones tracks by their mass moments, Journal of Climate, 22, 5481-5494, doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2828.1. PDF
  • S. J. Camargo, A.W. Robertson, A.G. Barnston and M. Ghil, 2008. Clustering of eastern North Pacific tropical cyclone tracks: ENSO and MJO effects. Geochemistry, Geophysics and Geosystems, 9, Q06V05, doi: 10.1029/2007GC001861. PDF
  • S.J. Camargo, K.A. Emanuel and A.H. Sobel, 2007. Use of a genesis potential index to diagnose ENSO effects on tropical cyclone genesis.  Journal of  Climate, 20, 4819-4834. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo, H. Li, and L. Sun, 2007.  Feasibility study for downscaling seasonal tropical cyclone activity using the NCEP Regional Spectral Model. International Journal of Climatology, 27, 311-325. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo, A.W. Robertson, S.J. Gaffney, P. Smyth, and M. Ghil, 2007. Cluster analysis of typhoon tracks. Part I: General properties. Journal of  Climate, 20, 3635–3653. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo, A.W. Robertson, S.J. Gaffney, P. Smyth, and M. Ghil, 2007. Cluster analysis of typhoon tracks. Part II: Large-scale circulation and ENSO.  Journal of  Climate, 20, 3654–3676. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo, A.H. Sobel, A.G. Barnston, and K.A. Emanuel, 2007. Tropical cylone genesis potential index in climate models, Tellus, 59A, 428-443, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2007.00238.x. PDF

  • S.J. Gaffney, A.W. Robertson, P. Smyth, S.J. Camargo, and M. Ghil, 2007. Probabilistic clustering of extratropical cyclones using regression mixture models. Climate Dynamics, 29, 423-440, DOI 10.1007/s00382-007-0235-z. PDF

  • B. Liebmann, S.J. Camargo,  A. Seth, J.A. Marengo, L.M.V. Carvalho, D. Allured, R. Fu and C.S. Vera, 2007. Onset and end of the rainy season in South America in observations and the ECHAM4.5 Atmospheric General Circulation Model. Journal of Climate, 20, 2037-2050. PDF

  • S.A. Rauscher, A. Seth, B. Liebmann, J.-H. Qian, and S.J. Camargo, 2007.  Regional climate model simulated timing and character of seasonal rains in South America. Monthly Weather Review, 135, 2642-2657. PDF

  • A. Seth, S.A. Rauscher, S.J. Camargo, J.-H. Qian, and J.S. Pal, 2007. RegCM3 regional climatologies for South America using reanalysis and ECHAM global model driving fields. Climate Dynamics, 28, 461-480. PDF

  • A.A. Wing, A.H. Sobel, and S.J. Camargo, 2007. The relationship between the potential and actual intensities of tropical cyclones on interannual time scales.  Geophysical Research Lettters, 34, L0881. PDF
2000 - 2006
  • S.A. Rauscher, A. Seth, J.-H. Qian, and S.J. Camargo, 2006. Domain choice in an experimental nested modeling prediction system for South America, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 86, 229-246. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo, A.G. Barnston, and S.E. Zebiak, 2005. A statistical assessment of tropical cyclone activity in atmospheric general circulation models, Tellus, 57A, 589-604. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo and A.H. Sobel, 2005. Western North Pacific tropical cyclone intensity and ENSO. Journal of Climate, 18, 2996-3006. PDF

  • W.A. Landman, A. Seth and S.J. Camargo, 2005. The effect of regional climate model domain choice on the simulation of tropical cyclone-like vortices in the southwestern Indian Ocean, Journal of Climate, 18, 1263-1274. PDF

  • A.H. Sobel and S.J. Camargo, 2005. Influence of western North Pacific tropical cyclones on their large-scale environment. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 62, 3396-3407. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo and A.H. Sobel, 2004. Formation of tropical storms in an atmospheric general circulation model, Tellus, 56A, 56-67. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo and S.E. Zebiak, 2002. Improving the detection and tracking of tropical cyclones in atmospheric general circulation models, Weather and Forecasting, 17, 1152-1162. PDF Summary in Nowcast, Papers of Note, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 84, 181-182 (2003).

  • M.C.R. Andrade, G.O. Ludwig, and S.J. Camargo, 2000. Self-consistent equilibrium calculation through a direct variational technique in tokamak plasmas. Plasma Physics and Controlled Fusion, 42, 1269-1289. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo, M.K. Tippett, and I.L. Caldas, 2000. Nonmodal energetics of electromagnetic drift waves. Physics of Plasmas, 7, 2849-2865. PDF
  • S.J. Camargo, M.K. Tippett and I.L. Caldas , 1998. Nonmodal linear analysis of drift-wave turbulence models. Czechoslovak Journal of Physics, 48, 189-194, Suppl. 2. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo, M.K. Tippett, and I.L. Caldas, 1998. Nonmodal energetics of resistive drift waves. Physical Review E, 58, 3693-3704. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo, B.D. Scott, and D. Biskamp, 1996. The influence of magnetic fluctuations on collisional drift-wave turbulence. Physics of Plasmas, 3, 3912-3931. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo, D. Biskamp, and B.D. Scott, 1995. Resistive drift-wave turbulence. Physics of Plasmas, 2, 48-62. PDF

  • D. Biskamp, S.J. Camargo, and B.D. Scott, 1994. Spectral properties and statistics of resistive drift-wave turbulence. Physics Letters A,  186, 239-244. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo and H. Tasso, 1992. Renormalization group in magnetohydrodynamic turbulence. Physics Fluids B, 4, 1199-1212. PDF

  • H. Tasso and S.J. Camargo, 1992. On the nonlinear stability of dissipative fluids. Il Nuovo Cimento, 107 B, 733-740. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo and  I.L. Caldas, 1991. Average magnetic surfaces in tokamaks. Plasma Physics and Controlled Fusion, 33, 573-581. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo and H. Tasso, 1990. Self-similar statistics in MHD turbulence. Zeitschrift für Naturforschung, 45a, 603-608 PDF

Other Publications:

Book Chapters:
  • S. J. Camargo, A.H. Sobel, A.G. Barnston, and P.J. Klotzbach, 2010. The influence of natural climate variability, and seasonal forecasts of tropical cyclone activity, Chapter 11, pp. 325-360, in Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones, from Science to Mitigation, 2nd edition, World Scientific Series on Earth System Science in Asia, vol. 4, J.C.L. Chan and J.D. Kepert, editors, ISBN 978-981-4293-47-1.

  • M. K. Tippett, S.J. Camargo, and I.L. Caldas, 1998. Modal and nonmodal linear stability of electromagnetic drift-waves, in Topics in Theoretical Physics vol. II, Festschrift for Abraham Hirsz Zimerman, edited by H. Aratyn, L.A. Ferreira, J.F. Gomes, 47-50, Theoretical Physics Institute, São Paulo State University, São Paulo, Brazil.
Contributions to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Annual "State of the Climate":
Additional Publications:
  • S.J. Camargo, 2013. Tropical cyclones in high-resolution climate models. U.S. CLIVAR Variations, Vol. 11, No. 3, 4-11. PDF

  • K. Walsh, M. Horn, S. Camargo, H. Murakami, H. Wang, E. Scoccimarro, 2013. Changes in future southern hemisphere tropical cyclone numbers. U.S. CLIVAR Variations, Vol. 11, No. 3, 1-4. PDF

  • M. Zhao, I.M. Held, G. Vecchi, E. Scoccimarro, H. Wang, M. Wehner, Y.-K. Lim, T. LaRow, S.J. Camargo, K. Walsh, S. Gualdi, A. Kumar, S. Schubert, and K.A. Reed, 2013. Robust direct effect of increasing atmospheric CO2 concentration on global tropical cyclone frequency - A multi-model inter-comparison. U.S. CLIVAR Variations, Vol. 11, No. 3, 12-17. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo, A.G. Barnston, P.J. Klotzbach and C.W. Landsea, 2007. Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Forecasts,  World Meteorological Organization Bulletin, 56, 297-309. PDF
Meeting Summaries:
  • U.S. CLIVAR Hurricane Working Group, 2013. U.S. CLIVAR Hurricane Workshop Report 2013-5, U.S. CLIVAR Project Office, Washington, DC 20005, 18pp. PDF

  • S.J. Camargo and A.H. Sobel, 2007. Workshop on Tropical Cyclones and Climate, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (Meeting Summaries) 88, 389-391. PDF

Last Modified 09/29/2015