Giovanni Zocchi, Bruce E. Shaw, Albert Libchaber, and Leo P. Kadanoff,
`Finger narrowing under local perturbations in the Saffman-Taylor problem',
Physical Review A  36, 1894, 1987. [abstract]
           pdf(1.2Mb)

Bruce E. Shaw ,  Ph.D. Thesis,
`Universality in selection with local perturbations in the Saffman-Taylor problem'
Physical Review A  40, 5875, 1989. [abstract]
           pdf(3.1Mb)

Jean M. Carlson, James S. Langer, Bruce E. Shaw, and Chao Tang,
`Intrinsic properties of a Burridge-Knopoff model of an earthquake fault',
 Physical Review A, 44, 884, 1991. [abstract]
           pdf(2.6Mb)

Bruce E. Shaw, Jean M. Carlson, and James S. Langer,
`Patterns of seismic activity preceding large earthquakes',
Journal of Geophysical Research, 97, 479-88, 1992.    [abstract]
         pdf(1Mb)

Bruce E. Shaw,
`Moment spectra in a simple model of an earthquake fault',
Geophysical Research Letters, 20, 643 , 1993a. [abstract]
         pdf(450Kb)

Bruce E. Shaw,
`Generalized Omori Law for aftershocks and foreshocks from a simple dynamics',
Geophysical Research Letters, 20, 907, 1993b. [abstract]
         pdf(470Kb)

Shirley L. Pepke, Jean M. Carlson, and Bruce E. Shaw,
`Prediction of large events on a dynamical model of a fault',
 Journal of Geophysical Research, 99, 6769, 1994.    [abstract]
         pdf(2.1Mb)

Jean M. Carlson, James S. Langer, and Bruce E. Shaw,
`Dynamics of earthquake faults',
 Reviews of Modern Physics, 66, 657, 1994. [abstract]
         pdf(3.2Mb)

Bruce E. Shaw,
`Complexity in a spatially uniform continuum fault model',
Geophysical Research Letters, 21, 1983 , 1994. [abstract]
         pdf(400Kb)

Bruce E. Shaw,
`Frictional weakening and slip complexity on earthquake faults',
Journal of Geophysical Research, 100, 18239, 1995. [abstract]
         pdf(1.3Mb)

Christopher H. Myers, Bruce E. Shaw, and James S. Langer,
`Slip complexity in a crustal plane model of an earthquake fault',
Physical Review Letters, 77, 972 , 1996. [abstract]
         pdf(145Kb)

James S. Langer, Jean M. Carlson, Christopher H. Myers, and Bruce E. Shaw.
`Slip complexity in dynamic models of earthquake faults',
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 93, 3825 , 1996.    [abstract]
         pdf(225Kb)

Bruce E. Shaw,
`Modelquakes in the two dimensional wave equation',
Journal of Geophysical Research, 102, 27367, 1997. [abstract]
          pdf(1.2Mb)

Bruce E. Shaw,
`Far field radiated energy scaling in elastodynamic earthquake fault models',
 Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 88, 1457, 1998.    [abstract]
           pdf(1Mb)

David P. Schaff, Gregory C. Beroza, and Bruce E. Shaw,
`Postseismic response of repeating aftershocks',
Geophysical Research Letters, 25, 4549, 1998. [abstract]
         pdf  (240 Kb)

Chrysanthe Spyropoulos, William J. Griffith, Christopher H. Scholz, and Bruce E. Shaw,
`Experimental evidence for different strain regimes of crack populations in a clay model',
 Geophysical Research Letters, 26, 1081, 1999.    [abstract]
         pdf(400Kb)

Lynn R. Sykes, Bruce E. Shaw, and Christopher H. Scholz,
`Rethinking earthquake prediction'
Pure and Applied Geophysics, 155, 207, 1999. [abstract]
         pdf(880Kb)

Bruce E. Shaw and James R. Rice,
`Existence of continuum complexity in the elastodynamics of repeated fault ruptures',
Journal of Geophysical Research, 105, 23791, 2000. [abstract]
          pdf(3.5Mb)

Bruce E. Shaw
`The edges of large earthquakes and the epicenters of future
earthquakes: stress induced correlations in elastodynamic fault models'
Pure and Applied Geophysics, 157,  2149, 2000.    [abstract]
         pdf(190Kb)

Samar Khatiwala, Bruce E. Shaw, and Mark A. Cane,
`Enhanced sensitivity of persistent events to weak forcing in dynamical and stochastic systems:
Implications for climate change',
Geophysical Research Letters, 28, 2633, 2001.
          pdf(800Kb)

Bruce E. Shaw and Christopher H. Scholz,
`Slip-length scaling in large earthquakes:  Observations and theory
and implications for earthquake physics',
Geophysical Research Letters, 28, 2995, 2001.
           pdf(140Kb)
       Science magazine Editor's Choice,  pdf.    Science, 293, 1223, 2001.
 

Chrysanthe Spyropoulos, Christopher H. Scholz, and Bruce E. Shaw,
`Transition regimes for growing crack populations',
Physical Review E, 65, 056105, 2002.
         pdf(200Kb)

Bruce E. Shaw,
`Magnitude dependence of radiated energy spectra: Far field expression
of slip pulses in earthquake models',
Journal of Geophysical Research,  108, 2100, doi:10.1029/2001JB000741, 2003.
         pdf(1.2Mb)

Wen-Xuan Du, Lynn R. Sykes, Bruce E. Shaw, and Christopher H. Scholz,
`Triggered aseismic fault slip from nearby earthquakes, static or dynamic effect?'
Journal of Geophysical Research, 108, 2131, doi:10.1029/2002JB002008, 2003.
        pdf(3.4Mb)

Bruce E. Shaw,
`Dynamic heterogeneities versus fixed heterogeneities in earthquake models',
Geophysical  Journal International,  156, 275, doi:10.,1111/j.1365-246X.2003.02134.x, 2004.
         pdf(5.1Mb)

Bruce E. Shaw,
`Self-organizing fault systems and self-organizing elastodynamic events on them:
Geometry and the distribution of sizes of events',
Geophysical Research Letters, 31, L17603, doi:10.1029/2004GL019726, 2004.
           pdf(140Kb)

Bruce E. Shaw,
` Variation of large elastodynamic earthquakes on complex fault systems',
Geophysical Research Letters, 31, L18609, doi:10.1029/2004GL019943, 2004.
           pdf(140Kb)

Bruce E. Shaw  and  Steven G. Wesnousky,
`Slip-length scaling in large earthquakes: The role of deep penetrating slip
below the seismogenic layer ',
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 98, 1633, doi:10.1785/0120070191, 2008.
           pdf(220Kb)

Ryosuke Ando, Bruce E. Shaw and Christopher H. Scholz
`Quantifying natural fault geometry: Statistics of splay fault angles',
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 99, 389, doi:10.1785/0120080942, 2009
           pdf(792Kb)

Agnes Helmstetter and Bruce E. Shaw,
`Afterslip and aftershocks in the rate-and-state friction law ',
Journal of Geophysical Research , 114, B01308, doi:10.1029/2007JB005077, 2009.
          pdf(16Mb)

Bruce E. Shaw,
`Constant stress drop from small to great earthquakes in magnitude-area scaling ', 
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 99, 871, doi:10.1785/0120080006, 2009.
           pdf(114Kb)

Christopher H. Scholz, Ryosuke Ando and Bruce E. Shaw,
`The mechanics of first order splay faulting: The strike-slip case', 
Journal of Structural Geology, 32, 118, doi:10.1016/j.jsg.2009.10.007, 2010.
           pdf(803Kb)

Bruce E. Shaw,
`Surface slip gradients of large earthquakes',
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 101, 792, doi:10.1785/0120100053, 2011.
           pdf(3.5Mb)

Ethan T. Coon , Bruce E. Shaw and Marc Spiegleman,
` A Nitsche-extended finite element method for earthquake rupture on complex fault systems',
Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering, 200, 2859, doi:10.1016/j.cma.2011.05.005, 2011.
           pdf(1.7Mb)

Bruce E. Shaw,
` Earthquake Surface Slip-Length Data is Fit by Constant Stress Drop and is Useful for Seismic Hazard Analysis',
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 103, 876, doi:10.1785/0120110258, 2013.
           pdf(461Kb)               ESupplementDataTables

Bruce E. Shaw,
` UCERF3 Appendix E: Evaluation of Magnitude-Scaling Relationships and Depth of Rupture',
USGS Open-File Report 2013-1165, Appendix E, 2013.
           pdf(2.0Mb)  

Kevin R. Milner, Morgan T. Page, Edward H. Field, Tom Parsons, Glenn P. Biasi, and Bruce E. Shaw
` UCERF3 Appendix T: Defining the Inversion Rupture Set Using Plausibility Filters',
USGS Open-File Report 2013-1165, Appendix T, 2013.
           pdf(5.6Mb)   

Edward H. Field, Ramon J. Arrowsmith, Glenn P. Biasi, Peter Bird, Timothy E. Dawson, Karen R. Felzer, David D. Jackson, Kaj M. Johnson, Thomas H. Jordan, Christopher Madden, Andrew J. Michael, Kevin R. Milner, Morgan T. Page, Tom Parsons, Peter M. Powers, Bruce E. Shaw, Wayne R. Thatcher, Ray J. Weldon II, and Yuehua Zeng,
`Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3 (UCERF3)-- The Time-Independent Model'
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 104, 1122, doi: 10.1785/0120130164, 2014.           
             pdf(7.1Mb)

Edward H. Field, Glenn P. Biasi, Peter Bird, Timothy E. Dawson, Karen R. Felzer, David D. Jackson, Kaj M. Johnson, Thomas H. Jordan, Christopher Madden, Andrew J. Michael, Kevin R. Milner, Morgan T. Page, Tom Parsons, Peter M. Powers, Bruce E. Shaw, Wayne R. Thatcher, Ray J. Weldon II, and Yuehua Zeng,
`Long-Term Time-Dependent Probabilities for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)'
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 105, 511, doi: 10.1785/0120140093, 2015.             
             pdf(2.9Mb) 

Nicholas van der Elst and Bruce E. Shaw,
`Larger aftershocks happen farther away: Nonseparability of magnitude and spatial distributions of aftershocks',
Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 5771, doi:10.1002/2015GL064734, 2015.
           pdf(1.7Mb)       ESupplementaryMaterials(8.2Mb)

Bruce E. Shaw, Keith Richards-Dinger, and James H. Dieterich,
`Deterministic model of earthquake clustering shows reduced stress drops for nearby aftershocks',
Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 9231, doi:10.1002/2015GL066082 , 2015.
           pdf(849Kb)       ESupplementaryMaterials(643Kb)

Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst, Thomas H. Jordan, Andrew J. Michael, Bruce E. Shaw, and Maximilian J. Werner,
`A Spatiotemporal Clustering Model for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3-ETAS): Toward an Operational Earthquake Forecast'
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 107, 1049, doi:10.1785/0120160173, 2017.             
            pdf(14Mb)

Edward H. Field, Thomas H. Jordan, Morgan T. Page, Kevin R. Milner, Bruce E. Shaw, Timothy E. Dawson, Glenn P. Biasi, Tom Parsons, Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Andrew J. Michael, Ray J. Weldon II, Peter M. Powers, Kaj M. Johnson, Yuehua Zeng, Karen R. Felzer, Nicholas van der Elst, Christopher Madden, Ramon Arrowsmith, Maximilian J. Werner, and Wayne R. Thatcher,
`A Synoptic View of the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)'
Seismological Research Letters, 88, 1259, doi:10.1785/0220170045, 2017.             
             pdf(9.3Mb)

Bruce E. Shaw, Kevin R. Milner, Edward H. Field,  Keith Richards-Dinger, Jacquelyn J. Gilchrist, James H. Dieterich, and Thomas H. Jordan,
'A physics-based earthquake simulator replicates seismic hazard statistics across California',
Science Advances, 4, eaau0688, doi:10.1126/sciadv.aau0688, 2018.
            pdf(7.5Mb)       ESupplementaryMaterials(1.0Mb)

Bruce E. Shaw,
` Beyond Backslip: Improvement of Earthquake Simulators from New Hybrid Loading Condition',
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 109, 2159, doi:10.1785/0120180128, 2019.
           pdf(1.3Mb) 

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